The experts in Washington do not see opportunities to improve relations with Moscow
About the new “cold war” between USA and Russia, and in Washington and Moscow say so often that they seem to have managed to believe politicians on both sides of the ocean. However, in the U.S. capital still trying to figure out what the Kremlin is seeking in this “game” against the rest of the world?
“Intervention in the election campaign of 2016 may be just the tip of ISEGA, an episode in “the game”, which is the former world power, at the same time forced to deal with a collapsing economy and an increasingly deteriorating reputation on the world stage, – explained the Russian service “voice of America” well-known journalist, the expert Washington the Brookings institution Marvin Kalb. But we still don’t know what the real purpose of this “game”, and what role, consciously or not, it plays a trump administration?”.
Another recording of the television program “Kalb Report” at the Washington National press club brought together the leading experts on Russian-American relations – President of the Brookings institution, General John Allen, a correspondent for The New York Times at the White house by Peter Baker, who worked in his time in Moscow and wrote several books about Russia, a leading radio station NPR’s Mary Louis Kelly expert and American Enterprise Institute Leon Aron.
The main question Marvin Kalb asked in the beginning of the recording of the TV program:
“What actually is on sometimes strange relations between Putin and trump and is it true that we are now in the centre of the new cold war?”
According to General John Allen, the United States has at all times tried “in one form or another to find a common theme with any potential enemy”, but now it was to do “much more difficult”. The former commander of NATO forces in Afghanistan and the representative of the President of the United States in the middle East remains confident that the two countries need “to find ways to begin dialogue”.
“I’m not sure I can call the current situation a “new cold war, but the level of confrontation with Russia is unprecedented. Do they really achieve it, we have to understand, but the level of opposition was facing a real military confrontation,” he said.
The correspondent of the New York Times Peter Baker found it necessary to emphasize that today we are not talking about the “ideological confrontation” between the US and Russia.
“Putin is not a Communist. It is very possible that he was a Soviet man, but it does not export ideology. He really wants to “make Russia great again”, to get her back on the world stage, and for this he is ready to put Ukraine on a place to protect Bashar al-Assad,” – said the journalist.
The expert of the American Enterprise Institute Leon Aron reminded that the best relationship between the two countries describes a very old Soviet joke that a pessimist believes that the situation will be even worse, and an optimist – that the situation is “worse”.
“I think we have already reached the level of Soviet optimism, he said. – The problem, in my opinion, is that in 2012, beginning his third presidential term, Putin has made a choice – perhaps the most serious in his political career – he decided to change the base mode.. going to the Patriotic mobilization.He can’t carry out structural reforms, he can’t fight corruption, rampant theft of bureaucracy, without jeopardizing your own mode. That is why he changed the heart of the regime is becoming not an economic Manager and the defender of the country, the restorer of the glory of the Soviet Union. Putin is a patriot of the Soviet Union in a much greater degree than patriots of Russia”.
According to Leon Aron, this vector of the Russian policy will not change as long as Vladimir Putin will remain in power.
“While its popularity will depend on confrontation with the USA,until its ratings are based on the image of the defender of the country, for the United States will be very difficult to change the situation (in relations),” he said.
Says Mary Lois Kelly, the problem Soedinennyh States is the lack of a uniform policy towards Russia.
“We have, in Washington, there are three types of policy towards Russia – listed it. The President of trump and his administration, which often do not agree with the President, and Congress, which mainly operates on sanctions. Maybe it’s a strategic advantage, and so we want to mess with Putin, but dialogue is not conducive”.
Program participants agreed that there are “more than substantial” evidence of Russian interference in the American election campaign, but doubted that the Kremlin deliberately sought the election of Donald trump.
“I think he started this intervention in order to complicate the (electoral) process, – said Peter Baker. – Played a role and personal dislike (Putin) to Hillary Clinton, but only later they saw that there was a chance to help another candidate Donald Trump. Were they to win? Probably not. They had the same data as we do, and these data, svidetelstvuet that trump will lose.”
According to General John Allen, the much more important issue for bilateral relations and for the entire world community became very real results of the “new” policy pursued by the Kremlin.
“Russian in recent years has managed to create quite a successful strategy in all 6 spheres on land, on water, under water, in the air, in cyberspace and in space, – said the head of the Brookings institution. They also have learned to successfully conduct operations in the so-called “gray area” – which may not be as ambitious and provocative, to cause a reaction of NATO and Western countries, but successful. In my opinion, the main strategic problem of confrontation with Russia lies in the fact that he intervened in the internal political situation in the United States, which led to a very important victory for Vladmir Putin. This caused a crisis of confidence in the democratic system in the Western community a crisis of confidence in the electoral system.”
Participants in the program and are unable to call, what are the areas could, if not to cooperate, then at least “to start a dialogue,” Washington and Moscow. According to experts, in coming years the situation is unlikely to change.
“Putin will remain (in Russian) forever, says Leon Aron. He has held the position of “President of Moengo time”, and not such whoat his post…He came to the escalator, where already visited Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi, and he must not get away with. And my biggest fear is that he will try to start the operation on the Eastern flank of NATO.”