Ukrainian interest. Unexpected victory, Channel solitaire and the Turkish gambit the Kremlin

To predict the results of the session of the PACE – it is very ungrateful, because the picture in the Assembly of parliamentarians across Europe are constantly changing. I recall that on the eve of the victorious for Ukraine session, my delegation did not rule out to move in case a colleague at PACE acknowledged the powers of the Russian delegation. About the seriousness of this issue testifies to the call of the President of PACE Pedro Agramunt to the delegates to ensure the return of Russian representatives. However, this did not happen, moreover, the situation is reversed in the opposite direction.

PACE adopted two resolutions, the content of which has no direct effect, but may strengthen the position of Ukraine in diplomatic dialogue. She laid on Russia the responsibility for the situation with human rights in Crimea and the Ukrainian authorities uncontrolled part of Donbass, making it clear that the separatist Republic controlled by the Kremlin. Sounded the call to withdraw Russian troops and was diagnosed with the fact of impossibility of holding elections in ORDA in the near future. The truth of the latter statement was forced to admit, and the Minister of foreign Affairs of Germany Frank-Walter Steinmeier, until recently defended the need for its speedy implementation.

This victory secured by the concerted actions of Ukrainian diplomats and parliamentarians, is an important tactical success, but does not give reason to rest on our laurels. It is highly doubtful that Russia will back down from their own vision of resolving the conflict in the Donbas, where likely that the Kremlin will try to impose its own scenario.

This is evidenced by the significant worsening of relations inside Channel four. The invitation of Angela Merkel to meet hung in the air as the agreed agenda for the negotiations is not formed. Rapidly worsened relations between France and Russia after the torpedoing of the Kremlin, the French draft resolution of the UN Security Council on the situation in Syria. Putin was forced to cancel a visit to Paris and discussions of the situation in Donbas for Russia was merely one of her large-scale confrontation with the West. The past in 70 cities of 30 countries the rally of solidarity with Ukraine, “Stop Putin’s war” in the Kremlin, for obvious reasons, try not to notice, but the tone of statements of officials of the West towards Russia is becoming tougher.

Ukraine on the agenda in relations with the EU remains important in the process of obtaining a visa-free regime. In October the European Parliament will not consider this question, and even the new representative of the European Commission in Ukraine Hugues Mingarelli difficult to answer the question of whether a positive decision before the scheduled November 24 summit Ukraine – EU. Perhaps during the mini-summit with European leaders on 19 October, Petro Poroshenko will get the answers to his questions, although not excluded, and the emergence of new problems in bilateral relations.

Not surprisingly, the topic along with the temper of Donald trump becomes the main theme of the final stage of the election campaign in the United States. Before the election there remains only three weeks, and candidates are laid out in full. The desire to shout down Hillary Clinton often plays against the Republican candidate. In the States, it seems, have not fully realized the scale of the attempt by Russian hackers to interfere in the election campaign, but attention to the Kremlin and its actions will be consistently high, regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.

Russia, meanwhile, is trying to use natural gas supplies as a factor of political pressure. The signing of agreements on the construction of the gas pipeline “Turkish stream”, consecrated by the presence of Vladimir Putin and Recep Erdogan (the two are similar in the manner of President, once again, demonstrating friendly feelings) aimed at reducing the volume of transit of “blue gold” on the Ukrainian territory. “Gazprom” refused the tales of unreliability of the Ukrainian GTS, preferring to go to financial losses for the sake of political expediency. In this case, a few strange looks Ankara’s position, missed an opportunity to assure Kiev in their friendship.