The flags of the EU (left) and the UK
In the UK at 9:00 MSK began a referendum on leaving the EU.
The latest survey by Brexit (the so-called likely to exit the UK “Britain” and “exit”), which was carried out by YouGov, showed a slight superiority of the opponents of exit, The Times reports in an article in Thursday: to stay in the EU, voted 51% for exit — 49% of respondents.
On the same day, June 22, the service TNS Omnibus, however, gave other data, according to which 43% are ready to vote to leave the EU, while 41% want to stay. Aggregator betting quotes meanwhile, estimated the probability of Brexit just 29%.
Ahead there was a fierce debate between opponents and supporters of the exit. The British Cabinet initially hinted at the fact that I am ready for Brexit, however, in February, agreements were reached that imply a special status of great Britain in the Union. The Prime Minister David Cameron started agitating in favour of the EU.
During the time preceding the referendum, many warned about the possible risks of a British exit from the EU. The head of the British Treasury George Osborne mentioned, in particular, that if the referendum ends in victory for the supporters of the output, the Cabinet will have to find £30 billion ($42.9 billion) in four years. The Minister also warned of possible lower growth rates and the replenishment of the likely budget deficit by raising taxes.
17 Jun in an interview with Bloomberg TV at the St. Petersburg international economic forum (SPIEF), the head of Sberbank German Gref predicted the possible negative consequences of Brexit for Russia. According to him, the withdrawal of Britain from the EU could lead to a reduction in Russia’s GDP by 1% and a drop in shares of Russian companies by 5-10%. “It will have a very negative impact on our economy, on our exchange rate and on the investors in Russian securities. I’m not sure if this is going to continue in the long term, but the first reaction can be very bad” — said Gref.